Department of Mathematics FAS Harvard University One Oxford Street Cambridge MA 02138 USA Tel: (617) 495-2171 Fax: (617) 495-5132

Empirical and Mathematical Reasoning 14 : Fat Chance

Fall 2010-2011: Benedict Gross, Joe Harris, Nathan Kaplan

We are asked everyday to make decisions on the basis of incomplete knowledge. This course will help you understand basic probability, which is an essential tool for life. We'll first teach you how to enumerate the possibilities, then how to calculate the odds. Sometimes we can use mathematics to do this precisely, other times we will be happy with a reasonable estimate. You may still want to gamble in Las Vegas after taking this course, but you'll understand why you will lose.

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